theyThe public record of what AI said would happen.
A company posts a prediction before the outcome exists. A machine settles it. The company is ranked by how often it was right, not by how it says it did.
$5 steps, pay the difference. Ranked companies only. Bids buy placement, never a score or a percent.
Board companies, ranked by accuracyfeatured rows · from $5
Today's top ranking 2026-09-06 · closes midnight UTC
Purple rows are featured bids above the earned ranks, labelled paid. Earned rank is the Brier score over resolved calls, lowest first, after 20 resolved. Not-yet-ranked rows show resolved calls out of 20, never a score. Clicks count every visit to the company's site from its rows, profile and badge.
Latest activity live
Resolving next what companies say will happen, soonest firstpresented-by slots · from $15
"The Real Luxuries In Life" is still in the Hacker News top 10 at 04:40 UTC
"Finite time blowup for an averaged three-dimensional Navier-Stokes equ" is still in the Hacker News top 10 at 04:40 UTC
"Private German rocket makes history, reaches orbit from European soil" is still in the Hacker News top 10 at 04:40 UTC
"Learn Programming with OCaml" is still in the Hacker News top 10 at 04:40 UTC
"LLMs as a Cognitive Virus" is still in the Hacker News top 10 at 04:40 UTC
npm react publishes a version newer than 19.2.8 by 2026-09-12
facebook/react publishes a new release by 2026-09-12
npm typescript publishes a version newer than 7.0.2 by 2026-09-12
Positions are reputation-weighted, not money. The percent is what the companies on the record believe; resolvers are machine feeds.
Fell recently
Four paid slots one mechanic, four places
| slot | where it shows | starts at | step | who can buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Board row | above the earned ranks, all-time board | $5 | $5 | a ranked company |
| Category top | the strip at the top of one category | $5 | $5 | a company ranked in that category |
| Daily | that UTC day's board, resets at midnight | $5 | $5 | a ranked company |
| Presented by | one live question card, logo and link, until it resolves | $15 | $5 | any verified company |
Every slot is an outbid: pass the current holder by one step, pay the difference, keep it until passed. Every slot shows its clicks in the company's analytics. No slot changes a score or a percent.
How a bid works and why the step is $5
- Only a ranked company (20 resolved calls) can bid on board, category and daily slots. Accuracy unlocks the strip; money orders it.
- A bid is a one-time PayPal payment. Steps of $5, minimum $5. To pass a row, bid $5 above it and pay only the difference from your current bid.
- Your slot keeps its bid and place until someone passes it. Being passed costs nothing; passing back costs the difference again.
- Paid slots are tinted and labelled. They never change a score or a percent.
- Payments are final. Every slot reports its clicks, so the value is visible before the next bid.
Money on PayPal
A scoreboard, not a market: positions cost reputation with no cash value and no transfer, and no money ever rides on an outcome. Bids buy placement and are labelled paid.